Thursday, December 20, 2018

Texas VLCC terminal moves closer


http://www.tankeroperator.com/ViewNews.aspx?NewsID=10357

Corpus Christi Authority Port Authority has announced several milestones in the development of the crude oil export terminal on Harbor Island, Texas.
 
Locally-based Lone Star Ports will lead the development of the terminal, claimed to be the first US onshore export terminal able to handle fully-laden VLCCs.

Lone Star is a joint venture between The Carlyle Group and The Berry Group. Berry is the largest private employer in the Corpus Christi area through its numerous investments and operations in the oil and gas industry and its subsidiary Bay Ltd, a Corpus Christi-based infrastructure, construction, and fabrication contractor for the oil and gas sector. 

Lone Star Ports is led by CEO Jeremiah "Jerry" Ashcroft III who has been responsible for the development of several large marine terminals.

The company has signed indicative agreements with Harvest Midstream and EPIC Crude Pipeline, which is backed by funds affiliated with Ares Management. These two pipelines will provide connectivity to more than one million barrels per day.

It also entered into an indicative agreement with Martin Midstream Partners to provide a single, integrated VLCC solution on Harbor Island.

These agreements and arrangements still remain subject to definitive documentation among the relevant parties, co-ordination with the Port, satisfactory completion of due diligence and final approval by each relevant party.

"Our partnership with the Carlyle Group is designed to assure global energy markets that requisite infrastructure will be in place and ready to support the growing exports of American crude oil. We are pleased with the progress The Carlyle Group has achieved thus far in reaching full project commercialisation," said Sean Strawbridge, Port of Corpus Christi CEO.

Wednesday, December 19, 2018

Oil Prices Plummet 7% on Fears of a Glut

 



HOUSTON — Oil prices tumbled more than 7 percent on Tuesday, falling to their lowest levels in more than a year, after investors learned that Russia and the United States were pumping a lot more oil than had been expected.

The American benchmark fell below $47 a barrel for the first time in 15 months, capping a slide that has brought prices down by more than a third since early October.

Bountiful, cheap oil supplies are an unanticipated holiday bonus for American consumers. The average price of regular gasoline has fallen to $2.37 a gallon, according to the AAA motor club, 26 cents lower than a month ago. For most of the year gasoline prices were rising, but the recent decline in oil prices has driven gasoline down by about a nickel a gallon compared with a year ago.

Oil prices had stabilized earlier this month when the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russia agreed to slash production by 1.2 million barrels a day. But Russia announced on Monday that its output had increased to more than 11.4 million barrels a day, a record, putting in doubt its commitment to coordinate policies with Saudi Arabia and other oil producers.


On the same day, the Energy Department reported that the United States was producing 11.6 million barrels of crude oil a day, nearly a million barrels more than a year ago. The department projects that shale-oil production will climb to record levels this month, and increase by 134,000 barrels a day in January.

A shortage of pipelines has driven down oil prices from the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico, the most productive American oil field. But the completion of a series of pipelines in late 2019 should benefit producers and increase exports, adding even more barrels to the global glut.

The oil industry has struggled since prices plummeted to below $30 a barrel in 2016. Hundreds of small producers and oil-services companies sought bankruptcy protection, and more than 160,000 jobs were cut. As prices increased in 2017 and earlier this year, the industry regained some of that lost ground — a recovery now under threat.

“It sure will hurt if it lasts very long,” said Tom Dunlap, president of Tripledee Drilling of Ardmore, Okla. Mr. Dunlap said a price of $60 to $70 a barrel was typically needed to drill a new well profitably in his state.

Oil companies have become more efficient by relying on robotics and other technologies to replace workers, enabling them to explore and produce at lower prices. Those adjustments could come in handy as businesses are forced to cut back again in the coming months.

“These organizations have had to figure out they need to make a profit at $50 to $60 oil,” said Thomas M. Siebel, chief executive of C3, an artificial-intelligence software company that works with Royal Dutch Shell. “To do that they need to lower the cost of production, lower their exploration costs, lower their drilling costs; costs of operation have to be more efficient.”

So far, there are few signs that companies will meaningfully reduce exploration in 2019, though that could change if prices keep falling and the economy slows.


A version of this article appears in print on , on Page B2 of the New York edition with the headline: Oil Prices Plummet 7% As Investors Fear a Glut.

Tuesday, December 18, 2018

Oil Closes Below $50 for First Time in a Year as Glut Fears Grow

Oil Prices Fall Below $50bbl Where Oil Prices Are Heading Next

  • Skepticism abounds despite exporters’ pledges to curb output
  • WTI crude falls 2.6 percent, erasing early-session gains
OPEC has its work cut out to persuade the market that its output caps will stabilize oil prices -- and U.S. producers aren’t helping.

Crude settled below $50 a barrel in New York on Monday for the first time in more than a year and continued falling in after-hours trading. The slide began after data provider Genscape Inc. was said to report growing inventories at the biggest American storage hub and intensified as the U.S. Energy Department forecast higher output in the country’s shale plays.

Oil prices are on track for a third straight monthly decline despite efforts by OPEC, Russia and other major exporters to halt the slide. Crude had slunk near $50 in recent weeks but always rebounded. Crossing the threshold was “significant," said Michael Loewen, a commodities strategist at Scotiabank in Toronto.

“We’re probably going to see a supply slowdown in the U.S.," he said by telephone. “I do think that producers will react."
A dive for U.S. equities added to the pressure on Monday. The S&P 500 hit a 14-month low as investors anticipated a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike that could slow the economy.


West Texas Intermediate for January delivery fell $1.32 to settle at $49.88 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Bears gained steam after the official close, with oil falling to $49.01, the lowest level since September 2017. The WTI February contract fell to $49.47.

Brent for February settlement closed down 67 cents to $59.61 on London’s ICE Futures Europe exchange. The global benchmark traded at a premium of $9.41 a barrel to same-month WTI.

“There’s always a question mark over to what extent the OPEC countries and Russia will or will not fulfill their promises,” said Pavel Molchanov, a Raymond James & Associates Inc. analyst. “There is naturally some skepticism.”

It typically takes about six weeks for OPEC nations to implement supply changes, and Saudi Arabia, the group’s biggest producer, faces added political pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump to keep the taps open, Molchanov said.

Other oil-market news:

  • Gasoline futures fell 1.7 percent to $1.4104 a gallon in New York trading.
  • A former lobbyist who’s helped drive the Trump administration’s policies to expand drilling on public lands is poised to take over at the U.S. Interior Department. 
  • Kuwaiti Oil Minister Bakheet Al-Rashidi and two top executives of state-owned energy companies resigned in the latest sign of disputes within OPEC’s fifth-biggest producer.
— With assistance by Catherine Ngai, and Rakteem Katakey

Monday, December 17, 2018

Under New Management — Russia Now Runs OPEC

Khalid Al-Falih hands Alexander Novak the keys to OPEC decision making in the office of the group’s secretary general. Source: Russian Energy Ministry
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-12-16/opec-needed-russia-to-get-oil-output-deal-so-russia-s-in-charge 
The oil producer’s group has been seriously weakened by its need to bring an outsider into its heart to broker a deal on output.

If anyone doubted that OPEC is now little more than a zombie organization, the last 10 days have proved it.

The group has shown itself incapable of making it own decisions. Its smaller members have borne the brunt of an agreement to cut output that was only achieved after Russia took control of discussions from the heart of OPEC’s head office. Then, even after Saudi Arabia announced it would reduce supply by nearly a million barrels a day by January, oil traders merely shrugged.

It is a sad result for an organization that once made governments tremble. Here’s how it unfolded.

OPEC oil ministers gathered in the group’s secretariat building on a wintry Thursday in Vienna. Weakening demand growth and soaring U.S. production prompted agreement that they needed to reduce production in order to balance the market in 2019. What they didn’t see eye to eye on was how to share that burden.

Saudi Arabia insisted that all members should play an equal part, cutting by the same percentage from a new baseline set at October’s production level. Naysayers argued that, given how the group’s biggest producer had boosted its own output by more than a million barrels a day since May, it should therefore bear the brunt of the cuts needed to get the market back into balance. Furthermore, Iran led a contingent of countries claiming their special circumstances warranted exemptions.

The stand-off looked very similar to the one that had scuppered a deal in Doha in April 2016 – something that nobody wanted to repeat. But by the end of that Thursday, Dec. 6, officials had failed to reach an agreement and Saudi oil minister Khalid Al-Falih said he was “not confident” one was possible. The gala dinner at the Liechtenstein Palace was sparsely attended, with both the Saudi and Iranian delegations, among others, skipping the event.

Friday, the day originally scheduled for the group to meet with its partners, began little better. OPEC ministers were once again locked away in discussions. The talks went nowhere, and the OPEC+ meeting got pushed back to the afternoon. 

Then the Russians arrived.

Bilateral discussions to hammer out negotiating positions are a regular feature of the days and hours before the main OPEC gatherings. They take place in the suites of Vienna’s grandest hotels, where the various delegations are holed up. In recent years, the Russians have been part of this scene.

But when Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak arrived Friday morning, he moved in to the office of OPEC’s Secretary General. If ever there was a symbol of OPEC’s demise, it was this. He then summoned first Iran’s oil minister, then Saudi Arabia’s, for about 45 minutes each. Two hours later, the group reached a deal. And Iran, Libya and Venezuela got their exemptions, even if they didn’t appear in the final communiqué.

The agreement that emerged is, on paper, fair and reasonable. OPEC will cut production by 800,000 barrels a day from a new baseline of October 2018 production, with participating members cutting by 3 percent. The group’s partners will reduce their supply by 2 percent, contributing a further 400,000 barrels a day. That combined reduction is just about enough to balance supply and demand in the first half of next year. 

Saudi Arabia went even further. Al-Falih said the kingdom’s production would fall to 10.2 million barrels a day in January, down from 11.1 million last month.

That looks like a huge cut, but it is still 150,000 barrels a day above its target under the original deal. 

And this is where the inequality of the new OPEC+ deal becomes apparent. Saudi Arabia, Russia, the United Arab Emirates and Iraq boosted their combined output by almost 1.6 million barrels a day between May and October. That not only contributes to the current glut, it also gives them much higher starting points for the latest cuts than for the previous ones. Other OPEC members all face lower starting points.

The effect has been to shift a disproportionate share of the burden of OPEC’s supply management since 2016 onto the group’s smaller producers.

Handing control of OPEC decision making to the Kremlin has come at a high cost for the group, and most particularly for its smaller members. Some of the latter were already feeling marginalized. This latest deal will do nothing to change their view and the divisions between the organization’s “haves” and “have nots” will only widen.

Russia has done very well out of this. It agreed to cut output by 230,000 barrels a day from its October output level of 11.42 million. That would reduce its production to 11.19 million barrels a day, a figure that is just 15,000 barrels below its original 2016 baseline — a cut of just 0.1 percent.
Contrast that with OPEC member Algeria, which produces around a tenth as much oil as Russia. Its new target will be 1.023 million barrels a day. That’s a cut of 66,000 barrels a day, or 6.1 percent below the 2016 baseline. 

And what did this all achieve?

Oil markets have reacted with indifference. After a brief rally when the deal was revealed, Brent subsequently sank back below the level it was trading at before the meeting began. Perhaps traders don’t believe the group will be able to implement the arrangement, or are waiting to see evidence that it’s taken effect.

OPEC has lost a lot for very little gain. 

This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.
To contact the author of this story:
Julian Lee at jlee1627@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Jennifer Ryan at jryan13@bloomberg.net

Thursday, December 13, 2018

Iran falls to 6th biggest oil supplier to India in November, from 4th in October

A worker walks atop a tanker wagon to check the freight level at an oil terminal on the outskirts of Kolkata in this November 27, 2013 file photo. REUTERS/Rupak De Chowdhuri/Files 


NEW DELHI (Reuters) - India's monthly oil imports from Iran plunged to their lowest in a year in November with Tehran dropping two places to become only the sixth biggest supplier after New Delhi cut purchases due to the impact of U.S. sanctions, according to ship tracking data and industry sources.

Last month, the United States introduced tough sanctions aimed at crippling Iran's oil revenue-dependent economy. Washington did, though, give a six-month waiver from sanctions to eight nations, including India, and allowed them to import some Iranian oil.

India is restricted to buying 1.25 million tonnes per month, or about 300,000 barrels per day (bpd).

In November, India imported about 276,000 bpd of Iranian oil, a decline of about 41 percent from October and about 4 percent more than the year-ago month, ship tracking data obtained from shipping and trade sources showed.

After abandoning the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, U.S. President Donald Trump is trying to force Tehran to quash not only its nuclear ambitions and its ballistic missile programme but its support for militant proxies in Syria, Yemen, Lebanon and other parts of the Middle East.

India's imports from Iran in November, included some parcels that were loaded in October. In November, Iraq and Saudi Arabia continued to be the top two oil sellers to India. 

The UAE, which was the sixth biggest oil seller to India in October, became the third top seller to India in November, knocking down Venezuela by a notch to fourth position. 

Nigeria continued at No. 5 position, while Iran slipped to sixth place. 

"Iran do not have vessels to export oil on time ... some November loading vessels will arrive in December," said an industry source, with knowledge of the matter.

Local and international shippers are not carrying Iranian cargoes despite India winning a waiver, this source said. The key problem is that while India can import Iranian oil without falling foul of Washington, that may not apply to a shipping company signing a new delivery contract.

Instead, India is relying on Iranian tankers for crude imports and Iran is using many of its vessels for crude storage.

The sources declined to be identified citing the confidentiality of the numbers.

Indian refiners, wary of the impact of U.S. sanctions, had boosted imports from Iran ahead of their introduction, with imports averaging about 563,000 bpd in April-November, a growth of about 32 percent from a low base in the previous fiscal year, the data showed.

In the previous financial year to March 2018 India had cut oil imports from Iran due to a dispute over development rights of a giant gas field. 

Iran was hoping to sell more than 500,000 bpd of oil to India in 2018/19, its oil minister Bijan Zanganeh said in February, and had offered almost free shipping and an extended credit period to boost sales to India.

Government sources say Reuters' calculations showing India's oil imports from Iran in this fiscal year would be higher than the 452,000 bpd, or 22.6 million tonnes, it imported in the previous year, are correct.

During January-November this year India's oil imports from Iran rose by an annual 18.4 percent to 552,000 bpd, the data showed. 

(Reporting by Nidhi Verma; Edited by Martin Howell and David Evans)